40 billion of stock since 2020. Pinduoduo is beginning to squeeze Alibaba’s baba ganoush recipe without tahini business. The company is also losing share in cloud. Why such extreme selloffs and extreme run-ups in the span of a few months?
Because the market has no idea what it is doing with Alibaba shares. Many of the fund managers who own huge swaths of BABA stock don’t live in China. They cannot see the competitive dynamics of Alibaba’s business first hand. So instead of selling on business fundamentals, Alibaba shares swing wildly based on macroeconomic narratives. 60 range, and, in this article, I will try to provide a more nuanced view of the microeconomic issues facing Alibaba.
These fundamental issues may shed more light on why insiders are selling. But, the totality of the selling requires further investigation. Alibaba’s Moat Is Deteriorating In my first article on Alibaba, I wrote that the company faces competitive threats from JD. Notice that Alibaba is keeping pace with JD. At first glance, this doesn’t look too bad. Sun Art Retail is a grocery store with huge revenues and low margins.